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		<title>How To Calculate Player Advantage In European Roulette</title>
		<link>http://gambol.com.au/09a/2009/roulette/how-to-calculate-player-advantage/</link>
		<comments>http://gambol.com.au/09a/2009/roulette/how-to-calculate-player-advantage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2009 20:23:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Roulette]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategies]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In European roulette, the formula to calculate player advantage percentages for any bet can be calculated by:

A Simple Example: Straight Up Bets
For example, if a player wins straight up (ie, a single number) on a European roulette wheel (36 numbers plus a single zero), he will win $35 for a $1 stake. The formula gives [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>In European roulette, the formula to calculate player advantage percentages for any bet can be calculated by:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Ctext%7Bnumber%20of%20favourable%20results%20%7D%20%5Ctimes%20%5Ctext%7B%20payoff%20for%20favourable%20result%7D%7D%7B%5Ctext%7Btotal%20number%20of%20possible%20results%7D%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Ctext%7Bnumber%20of%20unfavourable%20results%20%7D%20%5Ctimes%20%5Ctext%7B%20the%20bet%20amount%7D%7D%7B%5Ctext%7Btotal%20number%20of%20possible%20results%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt=' \frac{\text{number of favourable results } \times \text{ payoff for favourable result}}{\text{total number of possible results}} + \frac{\text{number of unfavourable results } \times \text{ the bet amount}}{\text{total number of possible results}}' title=' \frac{\text{number of favourable results } \times \text{ payoff for favourable result}}{\text{total number of possible results}} + \frac{\text{number of unfavourable results } \times \text{ the bet amount}}{\text{total number of possible results}}' class='latex' /></p>
<h3>A Simple Example: Straight Up Bets</h3>
<p>For example, if a player wins straight up (ie, a single number) on a European roulette wheel (36 numbers plus a single zero), he will win $35 for a $1 stake. The formula gives us:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cfrac%7B1%20%5Ctimes%2035%7D%7B37%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B36%20%5Ctimes%20-1%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B35%20-%2036%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20-2.70%5C%25&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\frac{1 \times 35}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{35 - 36}{37} = -2.70\%' title='\frac{1 \times 35}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{35 - 36}{37} = -2.70\%' class='latex' /></p>
<p>There&#8217;s a few things to understand here. First, you&#8217;ll see the result is negative. This means that the advantage is to the house, not the player. Over time, players will lose an average of 2.70% of their stake, per bet, to the house. If the number was positive, then over time the house would lose that average of 2.70% of each stake back to the players.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s highlight with an example. Assume the payoff was $36 for a straight up win, instead of $35. The formula would give us:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cfrac%7B1%20%5Ctimes%2036%7D%7B37%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B36%20%5Ctimes%20-1%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B36%20-%2036%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%200.00%5C%25&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\frac{1 \times 36}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{36 - 36}{37} = 0.00\%' title='\frac{1 \times 36}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{36 - 36}{37} = 0.00\%' class='latex' /></p>
<p>There&#8217;s no advantage to either house or player in this case; over time, both the house and the player would not win or lose anything.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s take it one step further. Assume the payoff was $37 for a straight up win. The formula is now:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cfrac%7B1%20%5Ctimes%2037%7D%7B37%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B36%20%5Ctimes%20-1%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B37%20-%2036%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%202.70%5C%25&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\frac{1 \times 37}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{37 - 36}{37} = 2.70\%' title='\frac{1 \times 37}{37} + \frac{36 \times -1}{37} = \frac{37 - 36}{37} = 2.70\%' class='latex' /></p>
<p>Over time, the player would average winnings of 2.7% per bet. If you can ever  find a casino that offers these odds, keep quiet about it and play there often!</p>
<h3>Outer Bets</h3>
<p>Now I&#8217;ll move to the very popular outer bets in roulette, which are, of course black vs red, odds vs evens, or low numbers 1-18 vs high numbers 19-36. Let&#8217;s say you bet $1 that the number will come up red; if it does, you win $1 (plus you get back your stake of $1). Using the formula:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cfrac%7B18%20%5Ctimes%201%7D%7B37%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B19%20%5Ctimes%20-1%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B18%20-%2019%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20-2.70%5C%25&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\frac{18 \times 1}{37} + \frac{19 \times -1}{37} = \frac{18 - 19}{37} = -2.70\%' title='\frac{18 \times 1}{37} + \frac{19 \times -1}{37} = \frac{18 - 19}{37} = -2.70\%' class='latex' /></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s one of the things I like about roulette – you can take a straight up bet that seems risky on the surface of things, yet it has the same potential payout as the bet that seems least risky. I&#8217;ll get into this in another post.</p>
<p>Of course, the player advantage is the same for all outer bets.</p>
<h3>Dozens Bet</h3>
<p>Finally, let&#8217;s have a look at the dozens bet, where you wager on one of three groups – 1-12, 13-24 or 25-36. The payout for these dozens wagers is $2 for a $1 stake, or 2:1. The formula looks like this:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cfrac%7B12%20%5Ctimes%202%7D%7B37%7D%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B25%20%5Ctimes%20-1%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B24%20-%2025%7D%7B37%7D%20%3D%20-2.70%5C%25&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\frac{12 \times 2}{37} + \frac{25 \times -1}{37} = \frac{24 - 25}{37} = -2.70\%' title='\frac{12 \times 2}{37} + \frac{25 \times -1}{37} = \frac{24 - 25}{37} = -2.70\%' class='latex' /></p>
<p>Once again, it&#8217;s exactly the same player advantage as for outside bets or straight up bets.</p>
<h3>A Concluding Thought</h3>
<p>Get it? By now, you should have a good idea of how to apply the formula to calculate your advantage for any roulette bet. And when you do, you&#8217;ll see that all the simple (ie, non specialty) bets on a European roulette wheel offer the same player advantage  of -2.70%.</p>
<p>What this means is that it really doesn&#8217;t matter whether you keep your money on a single number in a straight up play for a big win, or you&#8217;re happy to have a small win on the outers every other spin or so. Your chances of winning are the same. So have fun and bet wisely!</p>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2009 08:06:44 +0000</pubDate>
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